Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Thank you, Michigan!

Tonight I like Michigan a lot. There are some very smart people there, and because of them my state of political depression can now come to an end, at least for the time being. Mitt Romney won the primary there tonight by a good margin, deservedly so, as well as necessarily so, otherwise I think it might have been the beginning of the end of his campaign for President. Even though he apparently has changed his policies more than the others (which is his biggest downfall in my opinion), he is by far the best person for the job. He's extremely intelligent and articulate, highly driven and motivated for the right reasons, he's proven that he gets difficult things done well, he got the bluest of blue Democrats of Massachusetts to vote for him, he's not a career politican, he's a true conservative, and he's a patriotic American.

Plus he's a genuinely nice guy. I know this from personal experience. When I was in high school a decade ago (yikes!) he was the Boston Stake Young Men's President and so he was at many of the youth activites we had, serving us dinner, interacting with us, smiling and laughing, dancing alongside us with his wife at dances. A lot of people as busy as he was wouldn't have been at all of those things, but he so often was. I remember when Ann came to my ward one Sunday to visit because she was in the stake Young Women's Presidency. After church was over she walked down the hall with me and two of my friends and took the time to really talk with us before she left. I remember she looked me right in the eyes like she was actually interested in me. Not all adults do that with teenagers. And one of my Young Women advisors who is a family friend of ours was Romney's scheduler when he was Governor and she said he was a good boss who treated his staff well.

Anyway, victory in Michigan in no way means that Mitt's quest for the nomination is now easily within reach. He has a hard road ahead. I'm worried he won't do very well in the South Carolina primary this Saturday due to the anti-Mormon prejudice that is historically strong in the South. (My prediction: Huckabee will win it, of course!) But Romney does have more delegates and votes than the other candidates and hopefully will soon be able to emerge as the front-runner.

It is such an interesting Republican race with so many contenders still around at this stage of the game, while the Democrats have been able to whittle it down to three, mostly two candidates. I'm glad that I can be more excited about the race again, but it is a cautious sense of optimism because you never know what will happen. And I'm worried that Mayor Bloomberg is going to throw a wrench into the whole thing by deciding to run, which would make it even more difficult for Romney and the rest of the Republicans, while being a gift to the Democrats. The next few weeks leading up to Super Tuesday on February 5th will be very interesting. And hopefully not depressing!

12 comments:

Katie said...

Mayor Bloomberg running would just be very dumb. There have already been elections already! Grrr...

I am happy that Michigan went with Mitt; he is my favorite of the (viable) Republicans candidates, and I think he would be the best one to actually run in the 2008 presidential election. And right now, I think that is vital for the GOP. With the Bush approval rating being as low as it is, many, many, many independents and even some republicans are going to be tempted to vote for the democrat candidate this time around, no matter who it is (well, except maybe Hillary. She has a lot of baggage, too, but more on that later).

You are probably right that Huckabee is going to win SC, and that just speaks to the evangelical vote there. He wouldn't be a good candidate for the GOP next November, though - Huckabee is too much like Bush (in the I'm-a-Christian-so-I-must-be-a-good-prez sort of way).

McCain is a really, really bad choice for prez candidate, in my opinion. This doesn't stem from my love or hatred of him as a person or a leader or in terms of his policies. Rather, I think the fact that he already ran for president in 2000 and lost, and has been hanging around Washington forever, is a good indication that if the GOP wants to win, McCain is NOT the man to choose.

Ron Paul - I love Ron Paul and his politics, and I wish america had more politicians like him. Unfortunately, I think his problem has been that he is a Libertarian, period. Even if he is running as GOP, his political leanings are libertarian. As my husband pointed out to me, the GOP would probably revolt before they nominated him for president, because so many of the political stances are so non-GOP (anti-war, for instance). I think that holds a lot of people back from voting for him who otherwise would. Its hard to vote for someone in the primary that you know won't get the nomination.

As for the Democrats, I like Obama. I know he doesn't have as much experience as Clinton. Although I think that matters to some extent, I think that the corruption surrounding Hillary and her campaign bothers me a lot more than her so-called "experience" woos me.

Furthermore, the kind of experience Hillary has is not what I want in the White House. HillaryCare, anyone? I remember when all the RNs were laid off from the hospitals - alot of people in the health industry lost their jobs.

I also think that if Hillary counts her time in the White House in her experience, then she shouldn't be allowed to run, since she was already in it for 8 years. I think if she is elected that they will pass a constitutional ammendment to that effect as well.

And, I think John Edwards is basically running as VP for Obama at this point. At least, that is how it has seemed to me in the debates.

Who I actually vote for in the end is going to depend a lot on who my options are. Right now, if it was...

Obama/anyone : Obama. I am really against the war in Iraq and I really believe Obama would bring change to the White House

Hillary/Romney : Romney, hands down

Hillary/McCain : Hard one but I still would go with McCain, just because I don't trust Hillary to get us out of the war.

Hillary/Huckabee : Canada, here I come!!

Alyson said...

I was thinking about you when I heard about Michigan!! Yea! By the way, did Hillary's fake tears scare anyone else? It freaked me out! She's like a alien who trying to pretend to have human emotions. AHHH!! I don't trust her in the least. By the way, what's Romney's stance on ending the war?

Katie said...

Here's what I think about Hillary's "tears": I think they were genuine but were turned into a political ploy. I think that she was crying b/c she was losing badly to Obama in NH. Worried about America my foot; you cry b/c you are worried about America, but not when your husband is sleeping around with interns half your age? Once she started the tears, she caught herself and gave some little speech about how she is worried about America, with a dash of, "sniff, sniff, you need an experienced president" thrown in.

Alyson said...

I think that's a pretty good assessment. It looked so bizarre to see her cry and give a strange little speech.

Donna said...

Body language experts say that Hillary's tears were probably genuine, and it seems to have worked to her advantage because a lot of women in NH ended up voting for her after that happened. I think it was real too, and I agree with you Katie, that she was probably so frustrated and emotional about Obama's rise more than her worries about the country like she said. In any case, it worked out well for her!

I agree with most of your views Katie, especially on the Republican candidates. I like what you said about Hillary and Huckabee running against each other, that was funny! I think I would vote for Obama over any of the Republican candidates except Romney. But Obama does make me uneasy--he has a very liberal voting record and his lack of experience is problematic, so I'm not quite sure about that yet. He would surely bring change to the White House but I don't know if I'd like a lot of it! I'm eager for the war to end but I don't support getting out of Iraq as quickly as the Dems want.

Speaking of which, if my memory serves me correctly, Alyson, Romney wants a gradual pull-out from Iraq, leaving essential service members in to provide support until the government, police, and army there are strong enough on their own. I agree with that plan. I think Romney would be able to help bring this difficult situation to a close with the help of highly competent people like Gen. David Petraeus. Romney is good at crisis management, though one of this magnitude would be a first for him as well as all of the candidates.

Alyson said...

Maybe experts thought the tears looked real, but they seemed so contrived to me.

Peter said...

Good for him in the Michigan Win. I still think he's a bit of a long shot for the nomination. The south is heavily evangelical and I thought I remember hearing that if a candidate fails to carry a single southern state, they need to win 83% of the other electoral college votes to win. Delegates tend to be assigned in proportion to electoral college delegates so, while a mathematical possibility, that's a tough nut to crack for a candidate whom evangelicals have religious issues with. I'm not sure how many states in the south have proportional delegates, so it might not be as bad, but that's still an upward climb.

Donna said...

I heard that many evangelicals in Michigan voted for him over McCain, so there's hope!

Katie said...

And.....Romney takes Nevada!

Donna said...

Yes, I just found out about that. Awesome! I'm really happy that he won Nevada. Finally, some good momentum for Romney. He's won three states now, more than any other candidate of either party. GO MITT!

Katie said...

He also has a lot more delegates than any of the other reublicans. He's taking a good approach by focusing on delegates, not states. He was smart to leave SC early to canvass Nevada.

Katie said...

And...Hitlery wins Nevada. Argh.